Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Audax Rio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Duque de Caxias (1,621) and Audax Rio (1,572).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Audax Rio have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Olaria(away) | 0-4 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Olaria(home) | 0-2 | Copa Rio |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Bonsucesso(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Bonsucesso(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Carapebus(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(away) | 1-2 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Resende(home) | 2-0 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | CFRJ / Maricá(away) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Pérolas Negras(home) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-3 | Carioca A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Duque de Caxias win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Audax Rio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Audax Rio 2-1 Duque de Caxias | Carioca A2 |
| May 22, 2024 | Audax Rio 1-1 Duque de Caxias | Carioca A2 |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Duque de Caxias 0-1 Audax Rio | Carioca A2 |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Duque de Caxias 1-2 Audax Rio | Carioca - 2 |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Duque de Caxias 0-0 Audax Rio | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Audax Rio vs Duque de Caxias on Jun 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Audax Rio score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Audax Rio | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio?
- The Footlab model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Audax Rio.
- Where and when is Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio played?
- Duque de Caxias vs Audax Rio is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.