DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, Ermelo
The Footlab AI model makes SC Genemuiden the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Genemuiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate DVS 33 Ermelo (1,754) and SC Genemuiden (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
SC Genemuiden
4-3-3- 9R. van Benthem
- 18Maron Voorhuis
- 14Ramon Beens
- 24B. Beimers
- 10Rutger Etten
- 17Jasper Tuinman
- 25Nick Buitink
- 20Hadde Pleijsier
- 3Jens Streutker
- 6Jan Brouwer Bart
- 1Hidde Streutker
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DVS 33 Ermelo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; SC Genemuiden have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 3-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 DVS 33 Ermelo win, 4 draws, 1 SC Genemuiden win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Genemuiden 2-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SC Genemuiden 2-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SC Genemuiden 0-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 5, 2024 | DVS 33 Ermelo 2-0 SC Genemuiden | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC Genemuiden 1-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: SC Genemuiden vs DVS 33 Ermelo on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; SC Genemuiden score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| SC Genemuiden | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DVS 33 Ermelo sit 15th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 10 matches) and SC Genemuiden sit 5th (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 21 |
| 15 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 6 |
A question about DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Genemuiden the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden played?
- DVS 33 Ermelo vs SC Genemuiden is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.