Match

Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie CottbusHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Energie Cottbus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (2,058) and Holstein Kiel (2,046).

48%25%27%
Energie Cottbus winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1
  1. 31J. Butler
  1. 8Lukas Michelbrink
  2. 9L. Copado
  3. 32L. Bittencourt
  4. 11M. Hannemann
  5. 10T. Ciğerci
  1. 2K. Manu
  2. 3H. Rorig
  3. 21Luca Erlein
  4. 25L. Guwara
  1. 1M. Lotka

Holstein Kiel

4-3-3
  1. 19P. Harres
  2. 10J. Therkelsen
  3. 11G. de Regt
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 15K. Davidsen
  3. 8G. Balzi
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 4S. Schonlau
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-32. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Odense(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Nov 7, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus wins, 0 draws, 3 Holstein Kiel wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 5, 2016Holstein Kiel 1-2 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Sep 23, 2015Energie Cottbus 1-2 Holstein Kiel3. Liga
Feb 7, 2015Energie Cottbus 0-2 Holstein Kiel3. Liga
Aug 23, 2014Holstein Kiel 0-1 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Jul 30, 2011Holstein Kiel 3-0 Energie CottbusDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus on Mar 5, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus1.61.9211/1510/15
Holstein Kiel1.41.147/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (11 points from 11 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (8 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Energie Cottbus11254182011
18Holstein Kiel1115511148

A question about Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel played?
Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Energie Cottbus and Holstein Kiel