Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel played?

Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus

Energie Cottbus

Holstein Kiel

The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Energie Cottbus (1,980) and Holstein Kiel (1,982).

Energie Cottbus win45 %

Draw25 %

Holstein Kiel win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Energie Cottbus have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Energie Cottbus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Augsburg(home)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Hannover 96(home)	3-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Werder Bremen(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Energie Cottbus win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Holstein Kiel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 5, 2016	Holstein Kiel 1-2 Energie Cottbus	3. Liga
Sep 23, 2015	Energie Cottbus 1-2 Holstein Kiel	3. Liga
Feb 7, 2015	Energie Cottbus 0-2 Holstein Kiel	3. Liga
Aug 23, 2014	Holstein Kiel 0-1 Energie Cottbus	3. Liga
Jul 30, 2011	Holstein Kiel 3-0 Energie Cottbus	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus on Mar 5, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Energie Cottbus	1.8	1.6	3	9/15	10/15
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Energie Cottbus sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Energie Cottbus	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel?: The Footlab model makes Energie Cottbus the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel played?: Energie Cottbus vs Holstein Kiel is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEAG Energie Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.