Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,961) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karlsruher SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 3-3 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 3-3 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 8, 2022 | Karlsruher SC 2-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 1-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Karlsruher SC 4-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026VfL WolfsburgvsArminia Bielefeld
- Dec 19, 2026Hannover 96vs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Dec 19, 20261. FC NürnbergvsVfL Osnabrück
- Dec 19, 2026VfL Bochumvs1. FC Magdeburg
- Dec 19, 20261. FC HeidenheimvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Dec 19, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Dec 19, 2026FC St. PaulivsHertha BSC
- Dec 19, 2026Energie CottbusvsHolstein Kiel