Where and when is East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts played?

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride

East Kilbride

Kelty Hearts

The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?

East Kilbride starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,530).

East Kilbride win73 %

Draw15 %

Kelty Hearts win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

East Kilbride
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Cowdenbeath(away)	3-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Montrose(away)	0-3	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Cove Rangers(home)	3-0	League One
Aug 11, 2026	Kilmarnock II(home)	5-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Airdrie United(away)	1-1	League One

Kelty Hearts
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Clydebank(home)	2-4	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Dumbarton(home)	3-1	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Elgin City(away)	1-4	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Motherwell U21(home)	4-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Stirling Albion(home)	3-2	League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 East Kilbride win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kelty Hearts win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 27, 2026	East Kilbride 4-0 Kelty Hearts	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 7, 2020	Kelty Hearts 0-1 East Kilbride	Football League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
East Kilbride	2.9	1.3	6	7/15	12/15
Kelty Hearts	1.3	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts?: The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Kelty Hearts.
Where and when is East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts played?: East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.