Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Queen of the South. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Edinburgh City (1,515) and Queen of the South (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Queen of the South have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Edinburgh City win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Queen of the South win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2025 | Queen of the South 4-0 Edinburgh City | League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Queen of the South 2-0 Edinburgh City | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Edinburgh City 1-1 Queen of the South | League One |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Queen of the South 3-1 Edinburgh City | League One |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Edinburgh City 1-2 Queen of the South | League One |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Edinburgh City 1-3 Queen of the South | League One |
Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Edinburgh City on Jul 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.7 | 1.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South?
- The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Queen of the South.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South played?
- Edinburgh City vs Queen of the South is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.