Eibar II vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar II vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,944) and Gernika (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar II vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar II
Not enough data to predict the Eibar II lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gernika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Eibar II wins, 0 draws, 1 Gernika win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Eibar II 3-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Gernika 1-2 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Gernika 0-4 Eibar II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Eibar II 1-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar II score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar II | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar II sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 6 matches) and Gernika sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Eibar II vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Eibar II vs Gernika played?
- Eibar II vs Gernika is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027Gimnástica TorrelavegavsBasconia
- Jan 10, 2027AmorebietavsCompostela
- Jan 10, 2027BergantiñosvsReal Madrid III
- Jan 10, 2027PortugaletevsReal Oviedo II
- Jan 10, 2027Sestao RivervsLlanera
- Jan 10, 2027Deportivo Alavés IIvsMarino de Luanco
- Jan 10, 2027ArosavsCoruxo
- Jan 10, 2027Ourense CFvsRacing Santander II