Match

Eibar II vs Gernika: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar IIGernika

The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Gernika?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,887) and Gernika (1,836).

Eibar II win45 %
Draw27 %
Gernika win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gernika have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Náxara(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Ejea(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Utebo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Gernika
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportivo Alavés II(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Basconia(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Tudelano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026Amorebieta(away)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026Utebo(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Eibar II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gernika win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Eibar II 3-2 GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 20, 2025Gernika 1-2 Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 8, 2025Gernika 0-4 Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 26, 2024Eibar II 1-2 GernikaSegunda División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Eibar II vs Gernika on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eibar II1.51.439/158/15
Gernika1.01.557/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Gernika?
The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Gernika.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Gernika played?
Eibar II vs Gernika is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Eibar II and Gernika

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