Deportivo Alavés II vs Marino de Luanco: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Marino de Luanco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Marino de Luanco?
Deportivo Alavés II starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,992 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Alavés II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Marino de Luanco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marino de Luanco | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Alavés II vs Marino de Luanco?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Marino de Luanco.
- Where and when is Deportivo Alavés II vs Marino de Luanco played?
- Deportivo Alavés II vs Marino de Luanco is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.