Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Basconia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,941) and Basconia (1,968).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Not enough data to predict the Gimnástica Torrelavega lineup.
Basconia
Not enough data to predict the Basconia lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Basconia have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Gimnástica Torrelavega win, 0 draws, 0 Basconia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-1 Basconia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Basconia | 2.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnástica Torrelavega sit 16th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 6 matches) and Basconia sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Basconia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Basconia.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Basconia is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.