Match

Amorebieta vs Compostela: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano

AmorebietaCompostela

The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Amorebieta vs Compostela?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,895) and Compostela (1,885).

Amorebieta win43 %
Draw28 %
Compostela win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Amorebieta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Mutilvera(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Sestao River(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión(away)3-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026Gernika(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Amorebieta1.20.886/155/15
Compostela1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Compostela?
The Footlab model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Compostela.
Where and when is Amorebieta vs Compostela played?
Amorebieta vs Compostela is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Amorebieta and Compostela

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