Where and when is Sestao River vs Llanera played?

Sestao River vs Llanera is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sestao River vs Llanera: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao

Sestao River

Llanera

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sestao River vs Llanera?

Llanera starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,999 vs 1,892).

Sestao River win32 %

Draw28 %

Llanera win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Llanera have 12, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sestao River
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Athletic Club II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Athletic Club(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Utebo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Amorebieta(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Llanera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Avilés Stadium(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Tuilla(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Real Titánico(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sestao River	1.0	1.2	3	9/15	5/15
Llanera	1.9	0.4	11	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Llanera?: The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sestao River.
Where and when is Sestao River vs Llanera played?: Sestao River vs Llanera is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.