Match

Arosa vs Coruxo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

ArosaCoruxo

The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arosa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Coruxo?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Arosa (1,876) and Coruxo (1,888).

40%27%33%
Arosa winDrawCoruxo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arosa vs Coruxo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arosa

Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.

Coruxo

4-3-3
  1. BBrais Penela
  2. 26Yago Insua
  3. MMatthew Gonçalves Martin
  1. 20Borja Domínguez
  2. 23Juanito Serrano
  3. ÁÁlex Pérez
  1. NNaveira
  2. 22J. Terranova
  3. 31Borja Marchante
  4. 12Guido Fernández
  1. 1Alberto

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Coruxo have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bergantiños(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ourense CF(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Deportivo Alavés II(home)2-5Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Basconia(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Gernika(home)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Coruxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Compostela(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Bergantiños(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Gernika(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Portugalete(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Racing Santander II(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arosa wins, 0 draws, 3 Coruxo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 27, 2022Coruxo 5-1 ArosaFriendlies Clubs
Feb 20, 2022Coruxo 3-0 ArosaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2021Arosa 0-1 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Coruxo vs Arosa on Aug 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arosa1.41.558/157/15
Coruxo1.31.5111/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arosa sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 6 matches) and Coruxo sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Coruxo6123685
17Arosa60428154

A question about Arosa vs Coruxo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Coruxo?
The Footlab AI model makes Arosa the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Coruxo.
Where and when is Arosa vs Coruxo played?
Arosa vs Coruxo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arosa and Coruxo

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