Where and when is Arosa vs Coruxo played?

Arosa vs Coruxo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arosa vs Coruxo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio A Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa

Arosa

Coruxo

The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arosa vs Coruxo?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Arosa (1,903) and Coruxo (1,897).

Arosa win44 %

Draw27 %

Coruxo win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arosa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Coruxo have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Coruxo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Lugo(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Atlético Baleares(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Baleares(home)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arosa win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Coruxo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 27, 2022	Coruxo 5-1 Arosa	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 20, 2022	Coruxo 3-0 Arosa	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2021	Arosa 0-1 Coruxo	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Coruxo vs Arosa on Aug 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15
Coruxo	1.3	1.4	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Coruxo	34	15	7	12	46	37	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arosa vs Coruxo?: The Footlab model makes Arosa the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Coruxo.
Where and when is Arosa vs Coruxo played?: Arosa vs Coruxo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio A Lomba, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.