Where and when is Eibar II vs Ourense CF played?

Eibar II vs Ourense CF is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Eibar II vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, Eibar

Eibar II

Ourense CF

The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eibar II vs Ourense CF?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Eibar II (1,888) and Ourense CF (1,907).

Eibar II win41 %

Draw28 %

Ourense CF win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eibar II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Náxara(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Ejea(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Ebro(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Utebo(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 4, 2026	UD Logroñés(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Ourense CF
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lugo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Pontevedra(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Tenerife(home)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	CF Talavera(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	2-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Eibar II score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Eibar II	1.5	1.4	3	9/15	8/15
Ourense CF	1.1	1.3	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eibar II vs Ourense CF?: The Footlab model makes Eibar II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ourense CF.
Where and when is Eibar II vs Ourense CF played?: Eibar II vs Ourense CF is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.