Ourense CF vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestao River wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Sestao River?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Ourense CF (1,911) and Sestao River (1,986).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ourense CF vs Sestao River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ourense CF
Not enough data to predict the Ourense CF lineup.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ourense CF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sestao River have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arosa(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ourense CF wins, 2 draws, 0 Sestao River wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sestao River 2-2 Ourense CF | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Ourense CF 0-0 Sestao River | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Ourense CF on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ourense CF score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ourense CF | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ourense CF sit 9th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 7 matches) and Sestao River sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sestao River | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Ourense CF | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Ourense CF vs Sestao River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ourense CF vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestao River the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Ourense CF vs Sestao River played?
- Ourense CF vs Sestao River is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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