Match

Sestao River vs Compostela: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao

Sestao RiverCompostela

The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sestao River vs Compostela?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Sestao River (1,892) and Compostela (1,886).

Sestao River win43 %
Draw28 %
Compostela win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Compostela have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sestao River
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Athletic Club II(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Athletic Club(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Utebo(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Compostela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Badalona II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Badalona II(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Atlético Arteixo(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 31, 2026Atlético Arteixo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sestao River win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Compostela win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2024Sestao River 0-1 CompostelaCopa Federacion

Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Compostela on Oct 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sestao River1.01.239/155/15
Compostela1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Compostela?
The Footlab model makes Sestao River the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Compostela.
Where and when is Sestao River vs Compostela played?
Sestao River vs Compostela is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sestao River and Compostela

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