Match

Llanera vs Basconia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera

LlaneraBasconia

The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Basconia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llanera vs Basconia?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Llanera (2,000) and Basconia (1,962).

Llanera win47 %
Draw27 %
Basconia win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llanera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Avilés Stadium(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026Tuilla(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026Real Titánico(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
Basconia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Racing Santander II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Ejea(home)5-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Gernika(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Sestao River(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llanera1.90.4114/157/15
Basconia2.31.359/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Basconia?
The Footlab model makes Llanera the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Basconia.
Where and when is Llanera vs Basconia played?
Llanera vs Basconia is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llanera and Basconia

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