Eibar III vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab model makes Eibar III the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for San Ignacio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar III vs San Ignacio?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Eibar III (1,706) and San Ignacio (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar III have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; San Ignacio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deusto(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Portugalete(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Touring(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eibar III win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 San Ignacio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eibar III 1-1 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | San Ignacio 1-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Eibar III 1-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | San Ignacio 2-1 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Eibar III vs San Ignacio on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar III score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar III | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar III sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (36 points from 34 matches) and San Ignacio sit 7th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 27 | 55 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 53 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar III vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab model makes Eibar III the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for San Ignacio.
- Where and when is Eibar III vs San Ignacio played?
- Eibar III vs San Ignacio is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.