Lagun Onak vs Beasain: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Garmendipe, Azpeitia
The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Beasain. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lagun Onak wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lagun Onak vs Beasain?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Lagun Onak (1,768) and Beasain (1,839).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lagun Onak vs Beasain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Beasain
Not enough data to predict the Beasain lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lagun Onak have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Beasain have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derio(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Touring(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lagun Onak wins, 2 draws, 4 Beasain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain 4-2 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lagun Onak 2-2 Beasain | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2025 | Beasain 1-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Lagun Onak 1-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Beasain 2-0 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Lagun Onak 0-1 Beasain | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Beasain vs Lagun Onak on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lagun Onak score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Beasain score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagun Onak | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Beasain | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lagun Onak sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 6 matches) and Beasain sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Lagun Onak vs Beasain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lagun Onak vs Beasain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Beasain.
- Where and when is Lagun Onak vs Beasain played?
- Lagun Onak vs Beasain is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Garmendipe, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.