Eibar vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs Real Sociedad II?
Eibar starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,053 vs 1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs Real Sociedad II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 21Iván Gil
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 5Peru Nolaskoain
- 13Jon Mikel
Real Sociedad II
4-4-2- 16Gorka Gorosabel
- 19Javier Soroeta
- 7Dani Díaz
- 14Tomás Carbonell
- 11Alex Garcia
- 6A. Lebarbier
- 3Jon Balda
- 5K. Kita
- 15I. Calderon
- 22Rupérez
- 32Lander Olasagasti
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Eibar wins, 0 draws, 0 Real Sociedad II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Eibar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Eibar 2-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Dec 31, 2021 | Eibar 3-2 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 2-3 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 1-2 Eibar | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Eibar on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 3rd in Segunda División (23 points from 12 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 18th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 23 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Eibar vs Real Sociedad II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Eibar vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Eibar vs Real Sociedad II is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.