Las Palmas vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Tenerife?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,999) and Tenerife (2,027).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 7Jefté Betancor
- 10Jesé
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 24Iván Jaime
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 12E. Loiodice
- 4Álex Suárez
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Tenerife
4-4-2- 10Nacho Gil
- 18Enric Gallego
- 6Juanjo
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 17C. Gomis
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 19César Álvarez
- 27N. Viereck
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Tenerife have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Palmas win, 1 draw, 4 Tenerife wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tenerife 1-1 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Tenerife 2-0 Las Palmas | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Tenerife 4-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Las Palmas 3-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Las Palmas 1-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Tenerife 1-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife vs Las Palmas on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 14th in Segunda División (14 points from 11 matches) and Tenerife sit 12th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Tenerife played?
- Las Palmas vs Tenerife is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.