Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Toruń?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724) and Elana Toruń (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Elana Toruń win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Elana Toruń 2-3 Chemik Bydgoszcz | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Toruń?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Toruń played?
- Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Elana Toruń is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Czesława Kobusa, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Stargard SzczecińskivsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 7, 2026KaliszvsLuzino
- Nov 7, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsKluczevia Stargard
- Nov 7, 2026Flota ŚwinoujścievsPolonia Środa
- Nov 7, 2026Gedania GdanskvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 7, 2026Victoria WrześniavsWda Świecie
- Nov 7, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 7, 2026Lipno StęszewvsUnia Swarzędz