Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście played?

Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana Toruń

Flota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,695) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Elana Toruń win32 %

Draw24 %

Flota Świnoujście win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Elana Toruń win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Flota Świnoujście 2-2 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 6, 2025	Elana Toruń 3-2 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 1, 2025	Elana Toruń 0-2 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 10, 2024	Flota Świnoujście 3-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
May 4, 2024	Elana Toruń 0-0 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 7, 2023	Flota Świnoujście 3-0 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Elana Toruń on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście?: The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście played?: Elana Toruń vs Flota Świnoujście is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.