Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września played?

Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, Nowy Staw

Grom Nowy Staw

Victoria Września

The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Grom Nowy Staw (1,695) and Victoria Września (1,692).

Grom Nowy Staw win46 %

Draw24 %

Victoria Września win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Grom Nowy Staw have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grom Nowy Staw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2

Victoria Września
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Luzino(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Środa(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-5	III Liga - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Grom Nowy Staw	2.0	2.0	2	5/8	5/8
Victoria Września	1.1	1.7	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th in III Liga - Group 2 (3 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Grom Nowy Staw	5	1	0	4	10	13	3
16	Victoria Września	5	1	0	4	4	14	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września?: The Footlab model makes Grom Nowy Staw the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Victoria Września.
Where and when is Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września played?: Grom Nowy Staw vs Victoria Września is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski OSiR Nowy Staw, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.