Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Bałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Unia Swarzędz starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,653).

Unia Swarzędz win43 %

Draw25 %

Bałtyk Koszalin win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2021	Bałtyk Koszalin 2-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2020	Unia Swarzędz 0-3 Bałtyk Koszalin	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz on Jun 6, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.