Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik played?

Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć Czarnków

Kotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik?

Noteć Czarnków starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,634).

Noteć Czarnków win54 %

Draw23 %

Kotwica Kórnik win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Jan 25, 2025	Kotwica Kórnik 1-2 Noteć Czarnków	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 29, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 6-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik on Apr 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik played?: Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.