Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Elana Toruń (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lech Poznań II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Elana Toruń win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 1-2 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Elana Toruń 2-4 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lech Poznań II 1-1 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Elana Toruń 0-0 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Lech Poznań II 3-2 Elana Toruń | Cup |
| Jun 17, 2020 | Lech Poznań II 2-2 Elana Toruń | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 10, 2027KaliszvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 10, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 10, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 10, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsWda Świecie
- Apr 10, 2027LuzinovsUnia Swarzędz
- Apr 10, 2027Victoria WrześniavsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 10, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsGedania Gdansk