Match

Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIElana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Elana Toruń (1,694).

Lech Poznań II win52 %
Draw22 %
Elana Toruń win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Elana Toruń
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lech Poznań II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Elana Toruń win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2025Lech Poznań II 1-2 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 2, 2025Elana Toruń 2-4 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 9, 2025Lech Poznań II 1-1 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 17, 2024Elana Toruń 0-0 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2020Lech Poznań II 3-2 Elana ToruńCup
Jun 17, 2020Lech Poznań II 2-2 Elana ToruńII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Elana Toruń1.02.5010/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
12Elana Toruń51228105

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń played?
Lech Poznań II vs Elana Toruń is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznań II and Elana Toruń

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