Match

Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana ToruńNoteć Czarnków

The Footlab AI model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1. If Noteć Czarnków wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,642) and Noteć Czarnków (1,678).

34%26%40%
Elana Toruń winDrawNoteć Czarnków win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Elana Toruń

Not enough data to predict the Elana Toruń lineup.

Noteć Czarnków

Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Victoria Września(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Victoria Września(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elana Toruń wins, 2 draws, 2 Noteć Czarnków wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Noteć Czarnków 3-1 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
May 23, 2026Elana Toruń 0-3 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 8, 2025Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
May 1, 2025Elana Toruń 1-1 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 5, 2024Noteć Czarnków 3-4 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 6, 2024Noteć Czarnków 0-0 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń1.51.7312/1512/15
Noteć Czarnków1.21.266/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Noteć Czarnków16637212321
11Elana Toruń16556242720

A question about Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków?
The Footlab AI model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków played?
Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elana Toruń and Noteć Czarnków