Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana Toruń

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Elana Toruń win27 %

Draw23 %

Noteć Czarnków win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Elana Toruń win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Noteć Czarnków 3-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
May 23, 2026	Elana Toruń 0-3 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 8, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
May 1, 2025	Elana Toruń 1-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 5, 2024	Noteć Czarnków 3-4 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 6, 2024	Noteć Czarnków 0-0 Elana Toruń	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń	1.0	2.5	0	10/15	11/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
12	Elana Toruń	5	1	2	2	8	10	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Elana Toruń vs Noteć Czarnków is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.