Kotwica Kórnik vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Victoria Września the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Kotwica Kórnik (1,634) and Victoria Września (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-6 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Victoria Września 1-0 Kotwica Kórnik | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Kotwica Kórnik on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kotwica Kórnik | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Victoria Września the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Kotwica Kórnik.
- Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Victoria Września played?
- Kotwica Kórnik vs Victoria Września is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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