Match

Elana Toruń vs Kalisz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń

Elana ToruńKalisz

The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elana Toruń vs Kalisz?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Kalisz (1,716).

Elana Toruń win39 %
Draw25 %
Kalisz win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elana Toruń
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Kalisz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)0-2Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Elana Toruń win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kalisz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2025Kalisz 2-1 Elana ToruńFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Kalisz vs Elana Toruń on Jul 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elana Toruń1.02.5010/1511/15
Kalisz0.91.737/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kalisz5221548
12Elana Toruń51228105

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Kalisz?
The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kalisz.
Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Kalisz played?
Elana Toruń vs Kalisz is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Elana Toruń and Kalisz

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