Elana Toruń vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń
The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Kalisz?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Kalisz (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Elana Toruń win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kalisz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2025 | Kalisz 2-1 Elana Toruń | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab model makes Elana Toruń the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Kalisz played?
- Elana Toruń vs Kalisz is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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