Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kalisz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin 1-1 Kalisz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
- The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
- Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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