Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz
The Footlab AI model makes Kalisz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kalisz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,639) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kalisz
Not enough data to predict the Kalisz lineup.
Bałtyk Koszalin
Not enough data to predict the Bałtyk Koszalin lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kalisz wins, 1 draw, 0 Bałtyk Koszalin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin 1-1 Kalisz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalisz score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalisz | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Bałtyk Koszalin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalisz sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (20 points from 16 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kalisz the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
- Where and when is Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
- Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Elana ToruńvsNoteć Czarnków
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsLipno Stęszew
- Mar 13, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsGedania Gdansk
- Mar 13, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 13, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsGrom Nowy Staw
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- Mar 13, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsVictoria Września
- Mar 13, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsUnia Swarzędz