Match

Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSRiR, Kalisz

KaliszBałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Kalisz (1,716) and Bałtyk Koszalin (1,653).

Kalisz win46 %
Draw24 %
Bałtyk Koszalin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalisz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kalisz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)0-2Cup
Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kalisz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Luzino(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Środa(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kalisz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin 1-1 KaliszIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kalisz0.91.737/157/15
Bałtyk Koszalin1.11.729/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kalisz sit 8th in III Liga - Group 2 (8 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kalisz5221548
13Bałtyk Koszalin5122475

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
The Footlab model makes Kalisz the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
Kalisz vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSRiR, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kalisz and Bałtyk Koszalin

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