Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Wda Świecie: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć CzarnkówWda Świecie

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Wda Świecie. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Wda Świecie?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Noteć Czarnków (1,791) and Wda Świecie (1,759).

Noteć Czarnków win47 %
Draw25 %
Wda Świecie win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Wda Świecie have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Elana Toruń(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kalisz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-5III Liga - Group 2
Wda Świecie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wda Świecie win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Wda Świecie 1-3 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 15, 2025Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2
May 11, 2025Noteć Czarnków 3-0 Wda ŚwiecieIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 13, 2024Wda Świecie 6-0 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Wda Świecie vs Noteć Czarnków on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków1.71.347/159/15
Wda Świecie1.72.1311/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Wda Świecie sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Wda Świecie53209511
7Noteć Czarnków53021089

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Wda Świecie?
The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Wda Świecie.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Wda Świecie played?
Noteć Czarnków vs Wda Świecie is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Noteć Czarnków and Wda Świecie

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