Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew?
Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Polonia Środa win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lipno Stęszew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 2-3 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 1-1 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 0-3 Polonia Środa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Polonia Środa 2-0 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Elana ToruńvsNoteć Czarnków
- Mar 13, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsGedania Gdansk
- Mar 13, 2027KaliszvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 13, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 13, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Mar 13, 2027LuzinovsStargard Szczeciński
- Mar 13, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsVictoria Września
- Mar 13, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsUnia Swarzędz