Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew?
Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,614).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polonia Środa
4-3-3- 7P. Mikita
- 9J. Wilczyński
- 4Jakub Kledecki
- 97F. Karmański
- 10B. Bartkowiak
- 23M. Stangel
- 15M. Pieńczak
- 38K. Gorecki
- 6Jonathan de Amo
- 2Michal Walczak
- 12M. Garstkiewicz
Lipno Stęszew
Not enough data to predict the Lipno Stęszew lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Lipno Stęszew have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Polonia Środa wins, 1 draw, 0 Lipno Stęszew wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 2-3 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 1-1 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 0-3 Polonia Środa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Polonia Środa 2-0 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 16th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 21 | 37 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 14 |
A question about Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Polonia Środa vs Lipno Stęszew is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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