Match

Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIGedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk?

Lech Poznań II starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,668).

Lech Poznań II win53 %
Draw21 %
Gedania Gdansk win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Gedania Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Elana Toruń(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)5-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk 2-3 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Jun 7, 2025Gedania Gdansk 1-5 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 30, 2024Lech Poznań II 3-0 Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Gedania Gdansk1.52.318/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
10Gedania Gdansk513112116

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk played?
Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lech Poznań II and Gedania Gdansk

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