Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk?
Lech Poznań II starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 5-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gedania Gdansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk 2-3 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Gedania Gdansk 1-5 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lech Poznań II 3-0 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Lech Poznań II on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Gedania Gdansk | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Gedania Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Gedania Gdansk.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Gedania Gdansk is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Elana ToruńvsNoteć Czarnków
- Mar 13, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsLipno Stęszew
- Mar 13, 2027KaliszvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Mar 13, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 13, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Mar 13, 2027LuzinovsStargard Szczeciński
- Mar 13, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsVictoria Września
- Mar 13, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsUnia Swarzędz