Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eldense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Eldense (1,946) and AD Ceuta FC (1,888).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eldense
4-4-2- 7Jorge Rastrojo
- 8Marcos Bustillo
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 24Javi Martínez
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 3Juan Larios
- 17Jesús Clemente
- 1Ramón Vila
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 22K. Koné
- 11Cedric Teguia
- 10Marino Illescas
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 14Y. Bodiger
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 5Adrián Lapeña
- 2Toni Abad
- 16Redru
- 13Guille Vallejo
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 15th in Segunda División (14 points from 12 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (5 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 5 |
A question about Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eldense the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Eldense vs AD Ceuta FC is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.