Eldense vs Albacete: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Albacete. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Albacete?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Eldense (1,933) and Albacete (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Albacete have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eldense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Albacete win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Albacete 1-0 Eldense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Albacete 0-1 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Eldense 2-0 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Eldense 0-1 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Albacete 1-1 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Albacete 2-3 Eldense | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 19th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Albacete sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Eldense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Albacete?
- The Footlab model makes Eldense the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Albacete.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Albacete played?
- Eldense vs Albacete is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.