Erandio vs R. Union B: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Erandio the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erandio vs R. Union B?
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erandio vs R. Union B?
- The Footlab model makes Erandio the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for R. Union B.
- Where and when is Erandio vs R. Union B played?
- Erandio vs R. Union B is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.