Sodupe vs Erandio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, Sodupe
The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Erandio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sodupe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sodupe vs Erandio?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sodupe (1,602) and Erandio (1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sodupe vs Erandio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sodupe
4-3-3- EEkaitz Azkuenaga Astorkiza
- MMarkel Vegas Olano
- AAnder Garmendia Alonso
- EErlantz Rementería
- IIker Mota Arana
- GGorka Olazabal Román
- AAnder Egileor
- RRubén Salado Góngora
- JJoseba Orbegozo
- DDaniel Jiménez
- MMikel Fuente
Erandio
Not enough data to predict the Erandio lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sodupe have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Erandio have 2, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | R. Union B(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sodupe score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erandio score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodupe | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Erandio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sodupe sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 6 matches) and Erandio sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Sodupe vs Erandio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sodupe vs Erandio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Erandio.
- Where and when is Sodupe vs Erandio played?
- Sodupe vs Erandio is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.