Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC?
Hallescher FC starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hallescher FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Erzgebirge Aue win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hallescher FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Hallescher FC 2-3 Erzgebirge Aue | 3. Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 Hallescher FC | 3. Liga |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Hallescher FC 5-2 Erzgebirge Aue | 3. Liga |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 Hallescher FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Hallescher FC | 3. Liga |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Erzgebirge Aue 6-0 Hallescher FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Hallescher FC vs Erzgebirge Aue on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Erzgebirge Aue score 2.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hallescher FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Hallescher FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and Hallescher FC sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Hallescher FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC?
- The Footlab model makes Hallescher FC the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC played?
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFSV Zwickau
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026BFC DynamovsChemnitzer FC
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Oct 18, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Oct 18, 2026Magdeburg IIvsGreifswalder FC