Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Luckenwalde 1-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 1, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 2, 2023 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Luckenwalde on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 6 matches) and FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena played?
- Luckenwalde vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHallescher FC
- Oct 18, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFSV Zwickau
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026BFC DynamovsChemnitzer FC
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Oct 18, 2026Magdeburg IIvsGreifswalder FC