Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Tasmania Berlin 2-4 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Tasmania Berlin 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Tasmania Berlin 0-6 SV Babelsberg 03 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 26, 2022 | SV Babelsberg 03 1-5 Tasmania Berlin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2021 | SV Babelsberg 03 2-0 Tasmania Berlin | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Tasmania Berlin 2-0 SV Babelsberg 03 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Jan 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SV Babelsberg 03 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
- The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Babelsberg 03.
- Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
- Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHallescher FC
- Oct 18, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFSV Zwickau
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026BFC DynamovsChemnitzer FC
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Oct 18, 2026Magdeburg IIvsGreifswalder FC