Match

Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, Berlin

Tasmania BerlinSV Babelsberg 03

The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Babelsberg 03. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tasmania Berlin (1,818) and SV Babelsberg 03 (1,862).

Tasmania Berlin win38 %
Draw25 %
SV Babelsberg 03 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tasmania Berlin have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; SV Babelsberg 03 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost
SV Babelsberg 03
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026RSV Eintracht(home)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Altglienicke(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(away)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tasmania Berlin win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SV Babelsberg 03 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 6, 2024Tasmania Berlin 2-4 SV Babelsberg 03Friendlies Clubs
Jul 1, 2023Tasmania Berlin 1-2 SV Babelsberg 03Friendlies Clubs
Jan 7, 2023Tasmania Berlin 0-6 SV Babelsberg 03Friendlies Clubs
Jun 26, 2022SV Babelsberg 03 1-5 Tasmania BerlinFriendlies Clubs
Dec 3, 2021SV Babelsberg 03 2-0 Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost
Jul 23, 2021Tasmania Berlin 2-0 SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 on Jan 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SV Babelsberg 03 score 2.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15
SV Babelsberg 032.82.2212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tasmania Berlin sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and SV Babelsberg 03 sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Babelsberg 035122895
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03?
The Footlab model makes Tasmania Berlin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SV Babelsberg 03.
Where and when is Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 played?
Tasmania Berlin vs SV Babelsberg 03 is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tasmania Berlin and SV Babelsberg 03

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