FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and FSV Zwickau (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FSV Zwickau 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 8, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 26, 2025 | FSV Zwickau 3-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 23, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FSV Zwickau 5-0 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 27, 2023 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 FSV Zwickau | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FSV Zwickau.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHallescher FC
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026BFC DynamovsChemnitzer FC
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Oct 18, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Oct 18, 2026Magdeburg IIvsGreifswalder FC