Match

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt

FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtFSV Zwickau

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FSV Zwickau. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and FSV Zwickau (1,928).

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win60 %
Draw20 %
FSV Zwickau win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Luckenwalde(away)5-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026Magdeburg II(home)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)6-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Hallescher FC(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
FSV Zwickau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Luckenwalde(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026BFC Dynamo(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026Greifswalder FC(home)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FSV Zwickau win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026FSV Zwickau 2-1 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Nov 8, 2025FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 26, 2025FSV Zwickau 3-2 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 23, 2024FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-2 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost
Feb 17, 2024FSV Zwickau 5-0 FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 27, 2023FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 4-1 FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2.71.158/1511/15
FSV Zwickau2.01.7410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt651022416
10FSV Zwickau5212587

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for FSV Zwickau.
Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau played?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and FSV Zwickau

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