BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC?
Chemnitzer FC starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chemnitzer FC have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 BFC Dynamo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Chemnitzer FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 2-2 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Chemnitzer FC 2-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 14, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 0-0 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 1-3 Chemnitzer FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Chemnitzer FC 0-4 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chemnitzer FC score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chemnitzer FC | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Dynamo sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (5 points from 5 matches) and Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chemnitzer FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC played?
- BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHallescher FC
- Oct 18, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFSV Zwickau
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Oct 18, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Oct 18, 2026Magdeburg IIvsGreifswalder FC