Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?

Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bruno-Plache-Stadion, Leipzig

Lokomotive Leipzig

BSG Chemie Leipzig

The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?

Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,799).

Lokomotive Leipzig win55 %

Draw25 %

BSG Chemie Leipzig win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotive Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotive Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 16, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(away)	3-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Hertha BSC II(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	BFC Preussen(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

BSG Chemie Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 14, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	RSV Eintracht(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Hallescher FC(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 19, 2025	Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Apr 6, 2025	BSG Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 6, 2024	Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
May 5, 2024	Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost
Nov 26, 2023	BSG Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lokomotive Leipzig	1.8	1.7	2	11/15	10/15
BSG Chemie Leipzig	1.1	1.3	2	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Lokomotive Leipzig	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
18	BSG Chemie Leipzig	6	0	1	5	1	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where and when is Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?: Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bruno-Plache-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.