Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Magdeburg II (1,927) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Magdeburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 1-3 Magdeburg II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Magdeburg II 1-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Magdeburg II on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg II | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magdeburg II sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magdeburg II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC played?
- Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsHallescher FC
- Oct 18, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFSV Zwickau
- Oct 18, 2026BFC PreussenvsAltglienicke
- Oct 18, 2026BFC DynamovsChemnitzer FC
- Oct 18, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsRSV Eintracht
- Oct 18, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Oct 18, 2026LuckenwaldevsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Oct 18, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsSV Babelsberg 03