Match

Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, Magdeburg

Magdeburg IIGreifswalder FC

The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Magdeburg II (1,927) and Greifswalder FC (1,907).

Magdeburg II win38 %
Draw24 %
Greifswalder FC win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magdeburg II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Magdeburg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Luckenwalde(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(away)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026Hallescher FC(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Magdeburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Greifswalder FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2026Greifswalder FC 1-3 Magdeburg IIRegionalliga - Nordost
Sep 12, 2025Magdeburg II 1-1 Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs Magdeburg II on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Magdeburg II score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Magdeburg II2.32.0212/1511/15
Greifswalder FC2.71.3410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Magdeburg II sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Magdeburg II6312131010
8Greifswalder FC52211178

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC?
The Footlab model makes Magdeburg II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Greifswalder FC.
Where and when is Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC played?
Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Platz 2 MCDD-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Magdeburg II and Greifswalder FC

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