US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
The Footlab AI model makes US Monastirienne the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa?
US Monastirienne starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
US Monastirienne
4-2-3-1- 9A. Bouassida
- 20S. Barhoumi
- 23C. El Djebali
- 6O. Diane
- 33B. Tsirava
- 5Miras Ben Hassan
- 21R. Bouchniba
- 2M. Ghorbel
- 13R. Azzouz
- 17A. Benga
- 24A. Slimane
AS Marsa
4-2-3-1- 10M. Hamrouni
- 6K. Khalfa
- 28A. Ben Hamida
- 8A. Guesmi
- 15R. Gneba
- 27M. Khaloui
- 2M. Chaouch
- 5O. Bahri
- 17O. Jebali
- 34M. Kechiche
- 16C. H. Ben
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Monastirienne have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; AS Marsa have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 US Monastirienne wins, 1 draw, 0 AS Marsa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | US Monastirienne 1-0 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | AS Marsa 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | AS Marsa 0-3 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | US Monastirienne 3-1 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Monastirienne score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; AS Marsa score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Monastirienne | 0.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| AS Marsa | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Monastirienne sit 5th in Ligue 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and AS Marsa sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | AS Marsa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa?
- The Footlab AI model makes US Monastirienne the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa played?
- US Monastirienne vs AS Marsa is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.