Olympique Béja vs ES Metlaoui: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 10Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, Béja
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Olympique Béja, 36% for a draw, 29% for ES Metlaoui. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympique Béja vs ES Metlaoui?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Olympique Béja (1,687) and ES Metlaoui (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympique Béja have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ES Metlaoui have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Olympique Béja win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ES Metlaoui win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | ES Metlaoui 0-0 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Olympique Béja 1-0 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | ES Metlaoui 2-0 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Olympique Béja 0-1 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
| May 23, 2024 | ES Metlaoui 2-1 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Olympique Béja 2-1 ES Metlaoui | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Metlaoui vs Olympique Béja on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympique Béja score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ES Metlaoui score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Béja | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| ES Metlaoui | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympique Béja sit 14th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and ES Metlaoui sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympique Béja vs ES Metlaoui?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Olympique Béja, 36% for a draw, 29% for ES Metlaoui.
- Where and when is Olympique Béja vs ES Metlaoui played?
- Olympique Béja vs ES Metlaoui is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.