Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
The Footlab AI model makes Estac Troyes the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estac Troyes wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Estac Troyes (2,001) and Stade Brestois 29 (2,052).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estac Troyes
4-3-3- 20R. Ripart
- 10M. Ifnaoui
- 23T. Nkada
- 8M. Diop
- 17A. Mille
- 29D. Karim
- 6A. Monfray
- 4M. Diaz
- 2L. Maronnier
- 5P. Gozzi
- 40H. Konaté
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 17Mama Baldé
- 9P. Mboup
- 4G. Lloris
- 2B. Locko
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lens(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Estac Troyes wins, 3 draws, 3 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | Estac Troyes 1-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Coupe de France |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Estac Troyes 2-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Stade Brestois 29 5-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Estac Troyes 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Stade Brestois 29 1-1 Estac Troyes | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 on Feb 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estac Troyes sit 17th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
A question about Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estac Troyes the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Estac Troyes vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de l'Aube, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.