Strasbourg vs Lille: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lille wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lille?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,026) and Lille (2,106).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Strasbourg vs Lille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Strasbourg
4-3-3- 80Gessime Yassine
- 11S. Nanasi
- 7S. Amo-Ameyaw
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 21P. Diop
- 10G. Reyna
- 16G. Antwi
- 4J. Mitchell
- 36Oso
- 31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
- 1F. Jörgensen
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 22Tiago Santos
- 3N. Ngoy
- 1B. Özer
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 6-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Strasbourg wins, 1 draw, 1 Lille win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Lille 1-4 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Strasbourg 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lille 3-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lille 1-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Strasbourg 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strasbourg sit 11th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Lille sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Strasbourg vs Lille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Lille?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lille the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Lille played?
- Strasbourg vs Lille is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.