Rennes vs Nice: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Roazhon Park, Rennes
The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Nice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rennes vs Nice?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Rennes (2,032) and Nice (1,957).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rennes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nice have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rennes win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Nice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Nice 0-4 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Rennes 1-2 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Rennes 2-0 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Nice 3-2 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Rennes 2-0 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Nice 2-0 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Rennes score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nice score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 15/15 |
| Nice | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rennes sit 8th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Nice sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rennes vs Nice?
- The Footlab model makes Rennes the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Nice.
- Where and when is Rennes vs Nice played?
- Rennes vs Nice is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Roazhon Park, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.