Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivailo, Veliko Târnovo
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652) and CSKA Sofia II (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 CSKA Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-1 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 3, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 0-3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2017 | CSKA Sofia II 2-3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II played?
- Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivailo, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.